viernes, 4 de diciembre de 2015

Doing Business in Cuba: InvestorsBeware*


  • Doing Business in Cuba: Investors
    Beware**
    The possibilities of entering the Cuban market is of significant interest to American enterprises.
    However, upon closer examination the Cuban market offers American companies a very
    unfavorable risk-benefit analysis.
    Unlike most markets where the corporate due diligence focuses on examining the market
    conditions for doing business in a given country; the Cuban due diligence must begin by examining
    the conditions for doing business with Cuba. That is, with the Cuban government and more
    specifically with the Cuban military, which controls most businesses in the island.
    There is no private sector in Cuba in the sense that we use that term in free market economies. The
    so called self-employed (cuentapropistas) in Cuba are not equivalent to a private sector. These are
    individuals that have been granted permission by the State to operate in one of 201 highly specified
    domestic commerce and under very restricted conditions. They do not have legal standing as would
    a sole proprietorship, partnership or corporation in the United States. It is therefore very misleading
    Issue 263
    November 30, 2015
  • to speak of a private sector. American businesses must understand that they will have to operate in
    partnership with the oppressive Cuban government.
    Doing business in Cuba means doing business in partnership with the Cuban military.
    The first section of this report will highlight some of the requirements for doing business with
    Cuba under Cuban law and the second section will highlight some of the market conditions for
    doing business in Cuba.
    I. Doing Business With Cuba
    Legal Environment
    Written in 1976, and extensively revised in 1992 and later in 2002, the Constitution clearly defines
    the power vested in the Communist Party. Article 5 states that “the Communist Party is the superior
    leading force of the State.” Article 3 of the Constitution adds that the socialist system “shall be
    irrevocable and Cuba will never return to capitalism.”
    As a communist regime, the national economy is centralized, planned and run by the State (Article
    9). It is also based on a socialist ownership of the means of production (Article 14). These laws are
    specific and a prevalent part of Cuba’s legal system. They have not been set aside by the new
    Foreign Investment Law.
    The communist constitution does not allow room for doubts on the issue of property ownership
    rights. On the contrary, it is clear, direct and precise. It states that “sugar mills, factories and all
    enterprises, banks and installations that have been nationalized and expropriated from imperialists,
    large estate owners and the bourgeoisie” (Article 15) are the property of the state.
    The State controlled legal system in Cuba fails to protect foreign investors. Judges and lawyers are
    appointed by the State and follow party and military orders. A recent example is the arrest 3 years
    ago of Cy Tokmakjian, a Canadian investor that languished in jail without trial. On April 30, 2014,
    Peter Kent, Chairman of the Canadian House of Commons Defense Committee, complained
    publicly about the arrest and criticized Cuba for not protecting foreign investors. Mr. Tokmakjian
    has been released since.
    Cuba has no impartial courts to which complainants may turn to deal with a civil law controversy,
    much less a criminal case. There is an absolute absence of legal defense in any instance of conflict
    with the government or a state-owned business. The government, according to its needs,
    persecutes, arrests or releases any citizen arbitrarily, including foreign businessmen with whom it
    has engaged in a controversy. In other words, the opposite of true Rule of Law.
    General Raul Castro is opening for business but in his own communist terms.
    The Military in the Economy
    The military is the key power over economic decisions. Military officers involved in the economy
    manage the means of production, economic institutions and financial activities. The most important
    of these officers is General Luis Alberto Rodríguez López Calleja, son-in-law of Raul Castro, in
  • charge of GAESA (Enterprise Administration Group, S.A.), a conglomerate of state and mixed
    enterprises.
    All foreign trade and investments are funneled through its regime powerful conglomerate.
    Some businesses operated by Cuba’s military and GAESA S.A. are:
    • Gaviota S.A.: hotel and tourism industry marketing and sales.
    • CIMEX (Comercio Interior, Mercado Exterior): largest commercial corporation in Cuba.
    Manages businesses in the areas of real estate, banks, retail stores (over 250), shopping centers, fast
    food restaurants, gas stations, etc.
    • Servicio Automotriz S.A.: car rental services for tourists, car repair and gas stations.
    Aero Gaviota: manages tourism and airlines.
    • Tecnotex: import/export of technology and services.
    Almacenes Universal: warehouses located in Wajay, Mariel, Cienfuegos and Santiago.
    Almest: real estate and tourism services.
    Antex: customer service and commercial operations in Africa.
    Agrotex: agriculture and livestock.
    • Sermar: exploration of Cuban waters and naval repair (shipyard).
    • Servicio la Marina: provides security and support to GAESA (some employees are operatives of
    the MININT’s Intelligence department M-6).
    • Geocuba: geodesy and cartography.
    • Cubanacán: tourism
    Doing business with a corrupt military oligarchy that can, arbitrarily, make a negative and
    detrimental judicial decision on any matter affecting the investor’s corporate interest is a powerful
    deterrence for potential investors in Raul Castro’s Cuba.
    II. Doing Business In Cuba
    Widespread Corruption
    In the 2012 corruption report by Transparency International, Cuba was below most countries in the
    Caribbean and Central America. It defined corruption as “the abuse of central power for personal
    gain.” Corruption can take many forms, from minor use of influence to high ranking government
    officials, institutionalized bribery and extortion. Widespread corruption is recognized as a major
    obstacle for a nation’s sustainable economic development.
    State controlled Cuban newspaper Juventud Rebelde reported that over half of workers in retail
    enterprises routinely steal from cash registers. The paper stated that some state owned services are
    being used for personal profit. The report also added that many of the principal state enterprises are
    dysfunctional, unable to supply essential products and maintenance material to their retail outlets.
    The reason is theft.
    On May 2013, the Cuban Minister of Foreign Commerce and Investment reported on “the
    irregularities detected in the functioning of businesses with foreign capital.” The Minister also
    stated that “corruption and theft are rampant in the fuel sector.” Stealing from government owned
  • enterprises and their foreign investor partners is an acceptable way of life in the impoverished
    island in which the military oligarchy controls over 75% of the economy.
    In the book, “Corruption in Cuba,”* two prominent scholars argue that the Cuban privileged
    leadership has contributed to institutionalized corruption with rampant practice of nepotism,
    cronyism, bribery, control of production materials, pricing and lack of accountability. According to
    the study, few citizens hesitate to steal from government and enterprises.
    Today, large corporations are trying to focus on anti-corruption mechanisms to protect their
    international reputation and the best interest of their stakeholders. Doing business in a corrupted
    business environment is also very costly, estimated to add 10% or more to the cost of operations.
    Investors are discouraged by corruption since it increases the financial burden on the business.
    Unlike taxes, that are known and predictable and can be built into the expected cost, bribes, theft
    and extortions are difficult to control and unpredictable in magnitude and will negatively impact
    cost control, reduce profits, undermine investor confidence and unleash a commercial climate of
    fear and uncertainty in a country in which the revolutionary leadership control the judicial system.
    Corporations doing business in Cuba are required to cooperate with State Security. This includes
    the use of cameras and microphones in hotels, restaurants, stores and other business enterprises to
    keep track of customer and employee activities. State Security repressive methods violate
    employee and workers’ rights.
    Another issue for potential investors is that Cuba’s physical infrastructure is moving rapidly from
    acute decay to fatal collapse.
    Deteriorated Roads, Bridges and Railroads
    The island’s roads and bridges are unsafe and in need of urgent repair and the state lacks the needed
    funds to make the repairs. The fatigue, cracking and exacerbated deterioration of the bridges and
    roads are caused by low quality materials combined with inconsistent repair practices. As noted by
    a relevant study, “the lack of investment and maintenance are reflected in the deteriorated condition
    of the transportation system.” In addition, hundreds of bridges throughout Cuba are in need of
    rehabilitation.
    In the global market, trucking is a vital commercial component and the decay of the national
    highway system presents a major obstacle for the safe and timely transportation of commercial
    cargo.
    Cuba’s railroad system suffers from multiple infrastructure problems including rotten cross beams,
    rusted rails and loose tie plates. The dilapidated conditions of the railroad grid demand that in some
    areas the trains go at a maximum of 20 km an hour to avoid accidents. Railroad bridges are also in
    precarious conditions with sinking foundations that disrupt the angles on the tracks. The task of
    repairing the infrastructure is beyond Cuba’s financial capacity. The acute deterioration of the
    transportation system is among the perils of investing in Castro’s Cuba.
    Inadequate Ports With Mariel as the Exception
  • With the exception of the mega transshipment Port of Mariel, with a draft up to 49 feet and a
    capacity to store over 3 million containers, Cuba’s principal ports (Havana, Matanzas, Santiago de
    Cuba and Cienfuegos) are unable to accommodate large, modern vessels.
    Experts have pointed out that in Cuba’s ports “all basic infrastructures, including connectivity to
    ground transportation networks, energy, telecommunication and water have suffered. All such
    systems are antiquated, unreliable and incapable of supporting the demands associated with a
    consumer-oriented economy.”
    The U.S. Trade Commission stated that the ports’ poor maintenance has created a situation where
    loading and unloading cargo can be a hazard. Furthermore, there is limited availability of cold
    storage, a crucial infrastructure component necessary for perishable food products. In addition, the
    availability of equipment and trucks used for moving loads on to and off the ports is inadequate and
    they lack spare parts needed for repair and maintenance.
    The modern Port of Mariel, just 45 km West of Havana, is designed to serve super-container ships.
    However, the future possibility of serving as a container transshipment facility for a U.S. (post-
    embargo) commerce has major competition from high-tech Port of Miami, the closest American
    port to the new Panama Canal expansion. The Port of Miami enlargement has a dredge of up to 50
    feet in depth and is capable of berthing even the largest container vessels in the world, including
    the future Maersk Triple E Class, which will have a draught of 47 feet and will be nearly 200 feet
    wide.
    The mega Port of Miami has completed an under the bay tunnel for trucks to bypass Downtown
    Miami, doubling the port’s traffic capacity. So, why would the Pacific exporters choose the Port of
    Mariel if they could bring their cargoes directly into the U.S. via the excellent highway
    infrastructure of the Port of Miami? This fact should be a major concern for the Port of Mariel
    investors.
    Unreliable Energy
    Cuba has an aging and expensive centralized electrical power network that reaches 95% of the
    island’s population. Fossil fuels generate 85% of the energy. There are seven major power plans
    that use inefficient equipment from former Soviet Union and Eastern communist countries, as well
    as old American equipment. All plants are operating below their estimated capacity level.
    Cuba’s oil consumption is 80,000-100,000 bbl/d, while domestic production is about 55,000 bbl/d.
    Therefore; Cuba has to import most of its fuel needs. Over 100,000 bbl/d are imported from
    Venezuela. Thus the financial stability of Cuba depends almost entirely on the largesse of Nicolas
    Maduro’s regime in Caracas. If support from Venezuela is reduced or ended, Cuba’s energy sector
    will have to find, urgently, another country willing and capable of providing Cuba with petroleum
    at similar concessionary terms as Venezuela.
    Outdated Water and Sewer System
    In Cuba, the water supply and sewer infrastructure is at a breaking point and close to catastrophic
    failure. Throughout the island, the water and sewer infrastructure is failing due to the deterioration
    of the pipelines, inefficient maintenance practices, antiquated equipment and substandard plumbing
  • materials.
    According to a 2013 report published in Granma, the Cuban government’s official newspaper, 58%
    of potable water is lost through leakage.
    Havana’s sewer system, which was built almost one hundred years ago, has been due for major
    repairs for almost five decades and it serves over two million citizens- well beyond its original
    design capacity of 400,000. The wastewater infrastructure is a serious concern. Fifty nine percent
    of the 2,160 contaminants recognized by UNEP are released into Cuba’s environment without any
    treatment.
    For over 54 years, the wastewater process has been substandard as a result of decades of neglected
    infrastructure and pollution control. This has taken a severe toll on the land which is now
    recognized as one of the most polluted in the world. The growing deficiencies of clean water
    supply and wastewater contaminants are a major problem for corporations committed to clean
    environments.
    Outdated Internet Communication and Information System
    The global economy relies on modern internet communication technology for secure, reliable, swift
    and precise commercial, industrial and professional activities. This is a crucial factor for the
    successful fulfilment of trade exchange and distribution of goods. In Cuba, the high tech
    infrastructure is at a minimum level of performance while the communication system relies on
    antiquated equipment. Censorship is also among the most severe in the world.
    Although some efforts at modernization are being implemented, the State lacks the financial
    resources. Additionally, the Cuban government fears the powerful impact of new communication
    technologies on the people’s ability to share news and develop social networks among themselves
    .
    Cuba has one of the lowest rates of population with internet access among all countries; with less
    than 3 percent of Cubans having access to internet. The State also controls the flow of high tech
    internet equipment and information that reaches the island.
    Due to the outdated and restricted communication infrastructure, Cuba’s information technology
    (IT) sector has not developed to modern standards. Unlike in free market economies, IT experts on
    the island do not focus on the integration and strengthening of systems that facilitate transactions.
    Instead, they emphasize technologies that simplify the government’s supervision of activities. An
    unfriendly business environment hinders a swift and successful participation in the global
    economy.
    Violation of Workers’ Rights and Foreign Investors’ Complicity
    General Raul Castro’s regime systematically violates the rights of workers to bargain for wages and
    labor conditions with the complicity of foreign entities engaged in joint ventures with the Cuban
    government. There are no free, independent labor unions and there is no collective bargaining.
    Article 33.3 of the Foreign Investment Law clearly states that Cuban workers “shall be hired
    through a contract between the company and an employing entity” controlled by the State.
  • Article 33.4 states that payment to Cuban workers “shall be made in national currency which must
    be obtained beforehand from convertible foreign currency” by the Cuban entity.
    With the exchange rate of about 25 pesos (CUP) per dollar, the foreign investor entity pays a fixed
    salary to the state employment agency in convertible pesos, or CUC (1 CUC= $1). The
    employment agency then pays the Cuban worker in Cuban pesos, CUP. Thus Cuban workers
    receive 1/25 less per peso after the currency is exchanged for CUP. The Cuban government keeps
    over 80% of what the foreign entity pays.
    This is an ethical travesty in which the workers’ real monthly wage is around 10% of the payment
    for its labor. A shameful business practice condemned by labor organizations worldwide.
    A foreign investor in Cuba should carefully consider the unethical, unfair and abuse labor practice
    of workers’ exploitation when considering a joint venture with Cuba’s military oligarchy.
    Low Purchasing Power
    Wages are critically low (about $24 a month), which determines the practical inexistence of a
    potential market of 11 million consumers. Cubans have the lowest purchasing power per capita in
    all of Latin America.
    The High Risks of Venezuela’s Financial Collapse
    According to Moody’s report of April 2014, Venezuela’s economy is in a downgrade, negative
    outlook rating and Cuba faces the risk that Venezuela will be forced to reduce or eliminate its huge
    financial support of over $6 billion yearly. General Raul Castro’s regime is among the most
    vulnerable recipients of Venezuelan oil subsidies. Every day, Cuba receives over 100,000 barrels of
    oil from Venezuela in exchange for medical services.
    Moody explains that when it downgraded Venezuela, last December, to a negative outlook rating,
    the key drivers were unsustainable macroeconomic imbalances, and a materially high risk of
    economic and financial collapse. For Cuba’s subsistence economy, this is a catastrophic possibility.
    Conclusion
    Given these conditions and risks, only very daring investors are likely to pluck large sums of
    money into Cuba. A hostile state and a controlled legal system together with a collapsing
    infrastructure does not make Cuba an attractive investing location. The issue of confiscated
    properties is still pending. All U.S. and Cuban properties were confiscated in the 1960’s. Many
    U.S. firms as well as Cuban-American stand ready to use American courts to try to recover their
    losses or at least to prevent U.S. trade with and investment in Cuba.
  • _____________________________________________
    * Diaz-Briquets, Sergio and Perez-Lopez, Jorge. Corruption in Cuba: Castro and
    Beyond.University of Texas Press. 2006.
    **This report was submitted to the U.S. International Trade Commission on October 22, 2015.
    The CTP can be contacted at P.O. Box 248174, Coral Gables, Florida 33124-3010, Tel: 305-
    284-CUBA (2822), Fax: 305-284-4875, and by email at ctp.iccas@miami.edu. The CTP
    Website is accessible at http://ctp.iccas.miami.edu.

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